Iran's Response

Iran named its retaliation ‘Operation True Promise 4,’ targeting 27 US military bases. Country-specific strike packages now quantified:

— UAE: 137 missiles + 209 drones; Dubai airport hit; Burj Al Arab facade struck; 3 killed, 58 wounded

— Qatar: 65 missiles + 12 drones; 2 missiles + 1 drone reached Al Udeid Air Base; 8-16 wounded

— Bahrain: 45 missiles + 9 drones intercepted by BDF; 5th Fleet HQ struck directly; radar damaged; evacuation ordered

— Israel: Beit Shemesh + Tel Aviv strikes: 10 killed (9 Beit Shemesh, 1 Tel Aviv), ~150 wounded — FIRST Israeli civilian casualties

— Plus strikes on Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Iraq (Erbil 2x), and 35 missiles entering Israeli airspace

IRAN MILITARY STATUS: Post-strike missile inventory pre-Feb 28 recovered to ~2,000 (from 1,000-1,200 post-June 2025); original pre-war: 2,500. Mobile launchers: ~100 (from ~480). Rial collapsed 30% to 1,749,500/USD. 40-day mourning for Khamenei declared.

De-escalation signals persist alongside military escalation: FM Araghchi told NBC ‘interested in de-escalation.’ Trump proposed off-ramps with enrichment halt conditions. Both-sides signaling continues but has not translated into ceasefire.